Scenario · Base Case

Strategic position at a glance

A live, boardroom-ready view of where the scheme stands today and where the central path is heading over the next decade.

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Funding ratio
104.3%
▲Above buyout proxy
Prob. funded in 10y
100%
Parametric surplus model
Portfolio ER over gilts
1.41%
Total 5.61%
1-yr surplus VaR (95%)
£0m
Funding ratio drop 0.0 pp
Funnel of doubt
10-year projection · 5/25/50/75/95th percentiles

Base Case. Funding evolves along central expectations with moderate volatility around the median path.